Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-18 50.868598 58.429699 66.216774 74.800027 83.961091 93.414540 103.875733
2026-01-25 39.678184 50.426717 62.065063 75.452990 90.289538 106.104631 124.118655
2026-02-01 32.246725 44.526095 58.357528 74.777068 93.456080 113.800660 137.404281
2026-02-08 26.931511 40.230617 55.762816 74.711892 96.742458 121.155301 149.887398
2026-02-15 22.292908 36.119487 52.861980 73.823639 98.682441 126.653496 159.983096
2026-02-22 19.403181 33.819514 51.834109 74.879049 102.647275 134.267768 172.305050
2026-03-01 17.122744 32.032096 51.221981 76.251356 106.834498 142.019225 184.684084
2026-03-08 14.248052 29.098776 48.904129 75.318921 108.101642 146.242003 192.891006
2026-03-15 11.545425 26.069108 46.210359 73.708583 108.380194 149.169858 199.481168
2026-03-22 10.796675 25.864009 47.230187 76.776997 114.348154 158.808577 213.887966
2026-03-29 9.673307 24.937047 47.172145 78.385143 118.462527 166.204710 225.641246
2026-04-05 8.043811 22.974460 45.527805 77.808725 119.770416 170.172991 233.303537
2026-04-12 6.618625 21.169407 44.008118 77.345077 121.207202 174.316379 241.224270
2026-04-19 5.595230 19.927089 43.219343 77.802757 123.774405 179.811725 250.748185
2026-04-26 4.468649 18.274482 41.688720 77.152718 124.850408 183.430963 257.984105
2026-05-03 3.613199 16.992694 40.627112 77.079637 126.619661 187.865033 266.171319
2026-05-10 2.743883 15.453386 39.037293 76.177211 127.243139 190.835687 272.555613
2026-05-17 2.298747 14.815338 38.857609 77.250689 130.444062 196.998049 282.801613
2026-05-24 1.952465 14.344996 38.917938 78.646644 134.058352 203.670198 293.666715
2026-05-31 1.380839 13.016978 37.418684 77.698182 134.496984 206.324517 299.604568
2026-06-07 0.863825 11.534459 35.514522 76.059966 133.942872 207.679395 303.912977
2026-06-14 0.824120 11.797823 36.773690 79.181271 139.851504 217.235620 318.314549
2026-06-21 0.675327 11.546323 37.060365 80.816754 143.730311 224.211084 329.540978